Will Rubio supporters push Cruz over the top?

When asked who they might vote for with Rubio out of the race, Rubio supporters indicated they would most likely go with Cruz.  Definitely not Trump.  That could provide an important shift in the delegate distribution going forward.

At this point it is only speculation, but looking at the results from the most recent primaries, the results would have looked quite a bit different.

Missouri…             Trump 40.8%        Cruz 40.6% + Rubio 6.1% = 46.7%

North Carolina… Trump 40.2 %       Cruz 36.8 % + Rubio 7.7 % = 44.5 %

Illinois…              Trump 38.8 %          Cruz 30.3 % + Rubio 8.7 %= 39 %

Missouri              Trump 40.8 %          Cruz 40.6 % + Rubio 6.1 %= 46.7 %

Florida…             Trump 45.8 %           Cruz 17.1 % + Rubio 27 %= 38.1 %

That would have left Trump with only one victory, Kasich with his only win and Cruz taking three states.  To this point, Trump has won his delegates with less than a majority of voters due to the divided field of opposition.  Cruz has won in several states despite that division.  Regardless of how you speculate or maneuver the math, the way forward for Trump will be more difficult and for Cruz it could become easier.

It isn’t over until it’s over.

***Gordon Howie is an author and CEO of Life and Liberty Media***

“It’s not about right or left, it’s about Right or Wrong.”

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