How’s this for a shocker……for the first time Obama has registered a negative differential between his approval and disapproval ratings in a heavily Democratic state.
This is “outside” evidence that White House “inside” polling shows the incumbent president in big trouble for 2012.
A Quinnipiac University poll reveals that 49 percent of New York State voters disapprove of his job performance, compared to 45 percent who approve. Yes, you read that right, New York State, home to Hillary Clinton, Chuck Schumer and Michael Bloomberg.
The poll result represents a sharp drop from late June, when the president had a 57 percent approval rating and a 38 percent disapproval rating in the state.
Among Republicans disapproval totals 86 percent, compared to 10 percent approval, and among independents disapproval totals 58 percent, compared to 36 percent approval. Among Democrats, approval outstrips disapproval by 75 to 19 percent, but even that represents a sharp decrease from the 82 to 12 percent margin in June.
Republican disapproval totaled 74 percent in June, compared to 23 percent approval. And independents have actually reversed: in June, 49 percent of voters expressed approval for Obama, compared to 45 percent who voiced disapproval.
As for whether Obama deserves re-election, 48 percent said yes, while 46 percent said no, a gap that stands within the poll’s 2.4 percentage point margin of error. That’s a sharp drop from Obama’s favorable 56 to 39 percent margin in June.
“The debt ceiling debacle “devastated President Barack Obama’s numbers even in true blue New York,” Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute, said in comments accompanying the poll….”He just misses that magic 50 percent mark against a no-name Republican challenger.”