The polling propaganda influences some voters.

BUT, the Iowa polls proved themselves wrong.  They OVER estimated Trump support by over 10 points, and underestimated Cruz and Rubio support by 13 points.

That helps the media create the next story, about who under performed and who over performed.

What seemed to matter most in Iowa was who had the best organization.  That was obviously Cruz.  Heading into New Hampshire and beyond, organization and funding will continue to be the most important factors that determine winners and losers.

The smear campaign of Trump against Cruz might have taken a toll, but in the end, did not prevail.

With Huckabee, Paul and Santorum out, the dynamics of the race change also.  Cruz seems likely to get the largest share of the 8 points they got collectively in Iowa.  Even though Santorum has “endorsed” Rubio, his support in New Hampshire is negligible, even below Gilmore.

To be sure, New Hampshire is a race far different from Iowa in many ways.  One thing that remains the same, however, is the high negatives for Trump.  His negative rating will only continue to increase as he persists in his attacks on Cruz.  He is not believable on this front, and shows himself to look like a petulant child.

Cruz has the organization and the money to compete in the long game.

Maybe the polls and the media won’t choose the next President.

***Gordon Howie is an author and CEO of Life and Liberty Media***

“It’s not about right or left, it’s about Right or Wrong.”

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